Semily vs Nový Bor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
54.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Semily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TRU
3 - 0
SEM
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SEM
0 - 3
JAB
33%
22%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SEM
2 - 1
SOK
19%
21%
61%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +4 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
OLY
2 - 0
SEM
82%
13%
5%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SEM
0 - 2
VYS
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nový Bor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
5 - 1
PNI
40%
23%
36%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
SDS
39%
23%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
4 - 0
NOV
48%
23%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 1
JAB
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
SOK
30%
26%
45%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |