Zambia vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
54%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MOZ
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
ZAM
6 - 0
DJI
77%
15%
7%
|
78 | 37 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ETH
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
KEN
0 - 2
ZAM
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ZAM
4 - 1
PRK
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
KOR
0 - 1
SRB
56%
25%
19%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
DEN
0 - 0
KOR
60%
23%
17%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
KOR
2 - 0
SEN
65%
23%
13%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
KOR
3 - 1
AUS
45%
29%
26%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
KOR
1 - 0
PAR
45%
29%
27%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |