Yugoslavia vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.9%
9.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1951 |
YUG
2 - 1
SWE
54%
19%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1951 |
NOR
2 - 4
YUG
49%
21%
31%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1951 |
YUG
7 - 3
SUI
75%
13%
11%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
ITA
0 - 0
YUG
79%
12%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1951 |
FRA
2 - 1
YUG
50%
21%
30%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1952 |
NOR
1 - 2
FIN
85%
9%
6%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
SWE
3 - 4
NOR
85%
9%
6%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
NOR
2 - 0
DEN
53%
20%
27%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 1951 |
NOR
2 - 4
YUG
49%
21%
31%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1951 |
FIN
1 - 1
NOR
44%
20%
36%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |