Vanuatu vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
72.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
VAN
0 - 1
SOL
51%
25%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VAN
2 - 1
NCL
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
VAN
2 - 1
FIJ
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VAN
1 - 1
FIJ
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
TAH
4 - 1
VAN
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
NZL
3 - 1
FIJ
66%
20%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
OMA
0 - 1
NZL
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
MMR
1 - 1
NZL
11%
18%
70%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
KOR
1 - 0
NZL
68%
21%
12%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
THA
2 - 0
NZL
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |