Vanuatu vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
50.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 1
VAN
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
BRN
3 - 2
VAN
16%
18%
66%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
6 - 0
VAN
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PNG
0 - 1
VAN
27%
22%
51%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 0
VAN
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 0
NCL
31%
23%
46%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
PNG
1 - 3
NCL
19%
20%
62%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NCL
4 - 0
VAN
51%
22%
27%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TAH
2 - 1
NCL
25%
22%
53%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
TAH
0 - 2
NCL
28%
23%
49%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |