Vanuatu vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
VAN
2 - 1
FIJ
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VAN
1 - 1
FIJ
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
TAH
4 - 1
VAN
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
VAN
5 - 0
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
VAN
2 - 5
NCL
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
NCL
1 - 0
TAH
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
NZL
2 - 1
NCL
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
NCL
5 - 0
SOL
62%
20%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 6
NCL
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TAH
0 - 4
NCL
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |