Vanuatu vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
VAN
2 - 1
FIJ
17%
22%
62%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
FIJ
2 - 0
VAN
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2008 |
COK
1 - 2
VAN
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
NCL
3 - 0
VAN
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
VAN
1 - 1
NCL
28%
24%
49%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
NCL
3 - 5
TAH
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
NZL
3 - 0
NCL
88%
10%
3%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
NCL
1 - 3
NZL
6%
14%
80%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
NCL
3 - 0
VAN
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
VAN
1 - 1
NCL
28%
24%
49%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |