URSS vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
64%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1923 |
EST
2 - 2
SUN
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 70 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1924 |
POL
2 - 0
TUR
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1924 |
LVA
1 - 3
TUR
44%
23%
32%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1924 |
EST
1 - 4
TUR
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1924 |
FIN
2 - 4
TUR
52%
22%
27%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1924 |
CSK
5 - 2
TUR
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |