Tunisia vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
TUN
2 - 2
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
TUN
2 - 1
MTN
79%
16%
6%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
MTN
1 - 2
TUN
13%
23%
64%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
2 - 3
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
NGA
4 - 1
NIG
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2016 |
NGA
1 - 0
CIV
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
SWZ
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
SWZ
0 - 0
NGA
14%
25%
61%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BFA
0 - 0
NGA
24%
28%
48%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | -1 |