Tunisia vs Mauritania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.4%
4.7%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
LBY
0 - 1
TUN
24%
27%
49%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TUN
2 - 0
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TUN
4 - 1
LBR
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
DJI
0 - 3
TUN
10%
19%
71%
|
82 | 35 | 47 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
TOG
0 - 0
TUN
18%
25%
57%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
4 - 0
MTN
71%
20%
9%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 1
MTN
69%
22%
10%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
MTN
0 - 1
CMR
15%
25%
60%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
GAB
0 - 2
MTN
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 0
MTN
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |