Tunisia vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
3 - 3
GAB
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 0
TUN
12%
21%
68%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
LBY
1 - 0
TUN
23%
27%
50%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
LBY
0 - 4
MAR
27%
29%
44%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUI
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
CIV
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
STP
0 - 3
MAR
9%
19%
72%
|
83 | 41 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |