Tunisia vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
11.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
TUN
1 - 0
SDN
76%
17%
7%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
MUS
0 - 0
TUN
6%
19%
75%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
TUN
0 - 1
MLI
61%
23%
15%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2006 |
UKR
1 - 0
TUN
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2006 |
ESP
3 - 1
TUN
91%
8%
2%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 1
COD
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 0
SDN
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ETH
1 - 0
LBY
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2006 |
YEM
1 - 1
LBY
21%
23%
56%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
YEM
0 - 1
LBY
22%
23%
55%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |