Tunisia vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
EGY
1 - 2
TUN
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
COD
2 - 2
TUN
32%
30%
39%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
TUN
2 - 2
MAR
45%
29%
26%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
KEN
0 - 2
TUN
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
TUN
1 - 0
KEN
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
QAT
2 - 0
LBY
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
UAE
1 - 1
LBY
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
LBY
2 - 1
COD
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
BEN
1 - 0
LBY
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
LBY
0 - 0
SDN
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |