Togo vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
57%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 0
TOG
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UGA
3 - 0
TOG
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
TOG
0 - 1
UGA
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TOG
1 - 1
NIG
50%
25%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NIG
2 - 0
TOG
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 0
TOG
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 2
MLI
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
NIG
0 - 5
TUN
14%
23%
63%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 1
NGA
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
TUN
2 - 2
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |