South Sudan vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
SDN
1 - 2
KEN
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2003 |
SDN
3 - 4
UGA
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
SDN
3 - 0
RWA
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ERI
0 - 0
SDN
8%
18%
74%
|
67 | 21 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
86%
10%
3%
|
67 | 21 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
KGZ
1 - 1
SYR
14%
18%
68%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
SYR
1 - 1
PLE
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
LBN
0 - 1
SYR
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
BHR
2 - 1
SYR
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
TKM
3 - 0
SYR
36%
23%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |