South Sudan vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
59.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
18.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
SDN
1 - 1
SSD
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SDN
0 - 0
SEN
15%
26%
58%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
OMA
0 - 0
SDN
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2024 |
SDN
2 - 1
ETH
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ETH
0 - 2
SDN
37%
26%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
SEN
1 - 0
GUI
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
SEN
0 - 0
GUI
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
ENG
1 - 3
SEN
73%
17%
9%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
IRL
1 - 1
SEN
38%
29%
34%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
SEN
2 - 0
TOG
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | +1 |