South Sudan vs Guinea-Bissau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
SDN
3 - 0
BGD
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SDN
1 - 0
COD
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
SDN
1 - 1
TOG
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
SDN
1 - 0
CHA
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
COD
2 - 0
SDN
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
GNB
0 - 1
NGA
10%
19%
72%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
EQG
4 - 2
GNB
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CIV
2 - 0
GNB
84%
11%
4%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MLI
6 - 2
GNB
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
DJI
0 - 1
GNB
12%
17%
71%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |