Sri Lanka vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
LKA
3 - 0
TWN
44%
23%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
LKA
1 - 1
NPL
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
BTN
0 - 1
LKA
32%
24%
45%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
LKA
1 - 0
BRN
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
LKA
1 - 2
AFG
31%
23%
46%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
IND
0 - 3
NPL
62%
23%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
LKA
1 - 1
NPL
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
BRN
2 - 1
NPL
34%
23%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
NPL
2 - 0
BTN
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2005 |
NPL
3 - 1
BTN
74%
15%
11%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |