Romania vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
4.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2001 |
ROU
1 - 0
UKR
87%
10%
3%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2000 |
ALG
2 - 3
ROU
16%
24%
60%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2000 |
ALG
3 - 2
ROU
16%
24%
60%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
ROU
2 - 1
YUG
34%
26%
40%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
ITA
3 - 0
ROU
64%
22%
14%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2001 |
CYP
1 - 2
LTU
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
LTU
1 - 6
HUN
20%
23%
58%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
LTU
0 - 4
GEO
54%
23%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
ROU
1 - 0
LTU
92%
6%
2%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
POR
5 - 1
LTU
91%
8%
2%
|
75 | 94 | 19 | 0 |