South Korea vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
KOR
2 - 0
CHI
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
KOR
1 - 5
BRA
6%
16%
78%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
MDA
0 - 4
KOR
9%
21%
70%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
KOR
5 - 1
ISL
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
IRQ
0 - 3
KOR
20%
25%
56%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
4 - 1
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 0
PAR
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
URU
23%
24%
52%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |