South Korea vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2005 |
KOR
0 - 0
PRK
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
KOR
1 - 1
CHN
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
KWT
0 - 4
KOR
22%
26%
52%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
UZB
1 - 1
KOR
21%
23%
56%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
KOR
2 - 1
UZB
80%
14%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2005 |
JPN
2 - 2
CHN
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
PRK
1 - 0
JPN
9%
17%
74%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2005 |
JPN
2 - 2
BRA
7%
14%
79%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
GRC
0 - 1
JPN
46%
24%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
JPN
1 - 2
MEX
32%
25%
43%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |