South Korea vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1990 |
PRK
2 - 1
KOR
11%
20%
69%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1990 |
KOR
1 - 0
THA
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1990 |
KOR
0 - 1
IRN
60%
25%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1990 |
KOR
1 - 0
KWT
64%
24%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1990 |
KOR
2 - 0
CHN
63%
24%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1990 |
PRK
2 - 1
KOR
11%
20%
69%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
IRN
4 - 1
PRK
75%
15%
9%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1990 |
PRK
1 - 0
THA
64%
19%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1990 |
KSA
3 - 4
PRK
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1990 |
IRN
2 - 1
PRK
77%
14%
8%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |