Qatar vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
UZB
1 - 0
QAT
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
QAT
0 - 1
IRN
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
QAT
1 - 2
AZE
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
QAT
1 - 1
MDA
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
CHN
0 - 0
QAT
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
HKG
0 - 1
PRK
18%
23%
59%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
GUM
0 - 2
PRK
8%
18%
74%
|
76 | 31 | 45 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PRK
2 - 0
TWN
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 35 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
PHL
1 - 3
PRK
18%
23%
59%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
VIE
5 - 2
PRK
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |