Papua New Guinea vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
TAH
3 - 0
PNG
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2003 |
PNG
2 - 2
TON
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
PNG
3 - 5
CYM
37%
23%
39%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2002 |
PNG
1 - 3
TAH
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
9 - 1
PNG
88%
9%
3%
|
40 | 73 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
VAN
1 - 2
CYM
31%
23%
46%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
VAN
1 - 2
CYM
33%
23%
44%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2003 |
TAH
0 - 1
VAN
71%
17%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2003 |
CYM
2 - 2
VAN
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2003 |
PHL
0 - 0
VAN
52%
22%
27%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |