Papua New Guinea vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.8%
86.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
18%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
15.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
19.4%
0-4
10.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
12.2%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SOL
1 - 0
PNG
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
CYM
2 - 1
PNG
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
GAB
2 - 2
PNG
81%
14%
6%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 4
PNG
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
ASA
0 - 10
PNG
1%
9%
90%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FIJ
0 - 1
NZL
13%
19%
69%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
HND
0 - 1
NZL
66%
20%
15%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
SLV
2 - 2
NZL
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
NZL
2 - 3
JAM
29%
27%
45%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
AUS
3 - 0
NZL
66%
22%
13%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |