New Zealand vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
USA
1 - 1
NZL
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
NZL
1 - 2
MEX
10%
20%
70%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
NZL
0 - 0
PNG
80%
15%
6%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
NZL
1 - 0
NCL
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
NZL
1 - 0
SOL
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 1
NCL
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 3
NCL
26%
23%
50%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
NCL
1 - 2
MAS
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
NZL
1 - 0
NCL
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
TAH
1 - 1
NCL
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |