New Zealand vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
NZL
1 - 0
SOL
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
VAN
0 - 5
NZL
10%
18%
73%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
NZL
3 - 1
FIJ
66%
20%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
OMA
0 - 1
NZL
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
MMR
1 - 1
NZL
11%
18%
70%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
TAH
1 - 1
NCL
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
NCL
7 - 0
SAM
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
PNG
1 - 1
NCL
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VAN
2 - 1
NCL
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
NCL
1 - 0
TAH
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |