New Zealand vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1997 |
NZL
5 - 0
FIJ
79%
15%
7%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
NZL
7 - 0
PNG
82%
13%
5%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1997 |
FIJ
0 - 1
NZL
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
PNG
1 - 0
NZL
20%
26%
55%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
KOR
3 - 1
NZL
65%
22%
14%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1997 |
TAH
0 - 2
AUS
21%
28%
51%
|
87 | 47 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1997 |
SOL
2 - 6
AUS
21%
28%
51%
|
87 | 44 | 43 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1997 |
AUS
5 - 0
TAH
76%
17%
7%
|
87 | 50 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
AUS
13 - 0
SOL
78%
17%
6%
|
87 | 41 | 46 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
HUN
1 - 3
AUS
53%
27%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |