New Zealand vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
44.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
AUS
3 - 0
NZL
66%
22%
13%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
MEX
3 - 0
NZL
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
CHN
1 - 1
NZL
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
NZL
0 - 2
PAR
25%
29%
46%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
NZL
1 - 1
HND
24%
26%
51%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
JAM
3 - 0
CUB
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
JAM
1 - 0
CUB
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ECU
5 - 2
JAM
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
HND
2 - 1
JAM
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
JAM
0 - 2
COL
25%
29%
45%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |