New Caledonia vs French Polynesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
NZL
2 - 1
NCL
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
NCL
5 - 0
SOL
62%
20%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 6
NCL
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TAH
0 - 4
NCL
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
NCL
0 - 2
NZL
7%
15%
78%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
French Polynesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TAH
2 - 0
SOL
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
NZL
3 - 0
TAH
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TAH
0 - 2
NZL
6%
14%
80%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TAH
0 - 4
NCL
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 0
TAH
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -2 |