New Caledonia vs French Polynesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
NZL
0 - 2
NCL
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
NCL
9 - 0
SAM
84%
12%
5%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
TAH
4 - 3
NCL
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
VAN
2 - 5
NCL
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
NCL
1 - 3
REU
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
French Polynesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
SOL
0 - 1
TAH
37%
25%
39%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
TAH
4 - 1
VAN
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
TAH
4 - 3
NCL
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 10
TAH
12%
20%
68%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
TAH
1 - 0
NCL
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |