New Caledonia vs Papua New Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1980 |
NCL
4 - 3
VAN
71%
16%
13%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
AUS
8 - 0
NCL
87%
9%
5%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1973 |
NCL
2 - 1
VAN
70%
16%
14%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 1973 |
NZL
2 - 1
NCL
88%
7%
4%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1973 |
NCL
2 - 0
FIJ
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1980 |
AUS
11 - 2
PNG
87%
9%
5%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
PNG
4 - 3
VAN
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1979 |
FIJ
0 - 0
PNG
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1969 |
PNG
2 - 1
FIJ
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +3 |
| 19 Aug. 1969 |
PNG
1 - 1
FIJ
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |