New Caledonia vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
65.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
NZL
2 - 0
NCL
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 1
NCL
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 3
NCL
26%
23%
50%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
NCL
1 - 2
MAS
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
NZL
1 - 0
NCL
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
NZL
2 - 0
NCL
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
USA
1 - 1
NZL
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
NZL
1 - 2
MEX
10%
20%
70%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
NZL
0 - 0
PNG
80%
15%
6%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
NZL
1 - 0
NCL
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |