New Caledonia vs Samoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
PNG
1 - 1
NCL
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VAN
2 - 1
NCL
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
NCL
1 - 0
TAH
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
NZL
2 - 1
NCL
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
NCL
5 - 0
SOL
62%
20%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
TAH
4 - 0
SAM
75%
17%
8%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
TON
0 - 3
SAM
21%
22%
57%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
COK
1 - 0
SAM
46%
24%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 2
ASA
86%
11%
3%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
NCL
9 - 0
SAM
84%
12%
5%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |