Nepal vs Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
OMA
1 - 0
NPL
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1995 |
LKA
5 - 3
NPL
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1995 |
IND
3 - 0
NPL
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
BGD
2 - 1
NPL
57%
22%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1995 |
NPL
1 - 0
MDV
70%
17%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1993 |
MAC
0 - 5
MAS
40%
24%
35%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
KWT
8 - 0
MAC
76%
18%
7%
|
40 | 77 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1993 |
KSA
8 - 0
MAC
81%
14%
5%
|
40 | 79 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1993 |
MAS
9 - 0
MAC
72%
17%
12%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1993 |
MAC
1 - 10
KWT
18%
26%
57%
|
41 | 77 | 36 | 0 |