Nepal vs Bhutan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
BGD
1 - 0
NPL
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
MAC
1 - 6
NPL
66%
18%
16%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +3 |
| 23 Apr. 2001 |
IRQ
4 - 2
NPL
88%
9%
3%
|
42 | 87 | 45 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
KAZ
4 - 0
NPL
85%
11%
3%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
4 - 1
MAC
53%
21%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Bhutan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
MDV
6 - 0
BTN
64%
18%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2002 |
BTN
4 - 0
MNE
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | +3 |