Nepal vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1985 |
NPL
3 - 2
PAK
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
IND
2 - 0
NPL
65%
19%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1985 |
PAK
1 - 0
NPL
72%
16%
13%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
NPL
4 - 2
BGD
59%
20%
21%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1984 |
BGD
5 - 0
NPL
58%
20%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1985 |
HKG
2 - 0
MAC
73%
15%
12%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1984 |
MAC
0 - 3
HKG
39%
24%
36%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 1983 |
HKG
3 - 4
THA
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1982 |
HKG
0 - 0
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1982 |
CHN
2 - 0
HKG
87%
9%
4%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |