Mozambique vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
49.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
RSA
3 - 2
MOZ
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1995 |
MOZ
3 - 1
ZIM
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1994 |
SWZ
0 - 1
MOZ
39%
24%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 1993 |
SEN
6 - 1
MOZ
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
MOZ
1 - 1
GAB
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
CIV
3 - 1
ALG
58%
23%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1995 |
GAB
2 - 1
ALG
19%
28%
53%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1995 |
ALG
4 - 0
CMR
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
ALG
0 - 0
CIV
53%
24%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
TUN
2 - 0
ALG
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |