Mongolia vs Tajikistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.6%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
82.4%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.3%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
MNG
1 - 0
MMR
11%
16%
73%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
BRN
2 - 1
MNG
34%
21%
46%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
MNG
2 - 0
BRN
58%
20%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
MNG
1 - 5
HKG
12%
21%
67%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
TWN
2 - 1
MNG
70%
18%
13%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
TJK
1 - 0
KGZ
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
TJK
0 - 1
PRK
25%
23%
52%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
PRK
1 - 0
TJK
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
TJK
2 - 0
SYR
17%
21%
62%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
IND
2 - 4
TJK
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |