Mongolia vs Guam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
MAC
2 - 0
MNG
44%
23%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
RUS
5 - 6
MNG
95%
5%
1%
|
40 | 91 | 51 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
MNG
4 - 1
LTU
12%
20%
68%
|
38 | 74 | 36 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
BRA
1 - 0
MNG
98%
2%
0%
|
38 | 98 | 60 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2001 |
BGD
2 - 2
MNG
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
TJK
16 - 0
GUM
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2000 |
IRN
19 - 0
GUM
93%
6%
1%
|
40 | 87 | 47 | -1 |