Mongolia vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
PRK
5 - 1
MNG
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 75 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
MNG
1 - 4
PRK
13%
18%
69%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
MNG
5 - 2
GUM
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2007 |
PRK
7 - 0
MNG
92%
7%
1%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MAC
0 - 0
MNG
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
GAM
2 - 1
SLE
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2007 |
CPV
0 - 0
GAM
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
GAM
2 - 1
ALG
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
CPV
0 - 0
GAM
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
GUI
2 - 2
GAM
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |