Morocco vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
22.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
BFA
59%
25%
16%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
MAR
62%
22%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
CIV
28%
26%
45%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
TOG
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2017 |
COD
1 - 0
MAR
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
TUN
0 - 1
CMR
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BFA
2 - 0
TUN
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
ZIM
2 - 4
TUN
22%
26%
52%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 2
TUN
48%
25%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
TUN
0 - 2
SEN
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |