Morocco vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
MAR
2 - 0
MLI
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1995 |
MAR
0 - 0
EGY
40%
30%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1995 |
MAR
3 - 0
MLI
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1995 |
MAR
2 - 0
SEN
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1994 |
MAR
1 - 1
CMR
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TUN
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1995 |
TUN
3 - 0
BFA
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1995 |
TUN
2 - 1
UKR
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
TUN
2 - 0
ALG
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1995 |
ALG
2 - 1
TUN
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |