Morocco vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
MAR
5 - 0
BEN
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
ETH
0 - 1
MAR
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
TUN
1 - 1
MAR
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
BEN
0 - 1
MAR
13%
21%
66%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
MAR
5 - 0
ETH
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
TUN
3 - 0
ETH
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
BEN
0 - 5
TUN
20%
27%
53%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
TUN
3 - 0
BGR
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
TUN
1 - 1
MAR
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1992 |
TUN
1 - 1
FIN
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |