Morocco vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
26%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
MAR
2 - 2
EGY
60%
18%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1961 |
MAR
13 - 1
KSA
57%
19%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
MAR
1 - 0
LBN
72%
15%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1961 |
DDR
1 - 2
MAR
27%
21%
52%
|
72 | 36 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1961 |
YUG
3 - 2
MAR
83%
11%
7%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 0
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1961 |
ESP
1 - 1
WAL
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
WAL
1 - 2
ESP
31%
23%
46%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 0
FRA
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
AUT
3 - 0
ESP
50%
21%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |