Morocco vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18%
22%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1961 |
MAR
13 - 1
KSA
57%
19%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
MAR
1 - 0
LBN
72%
15%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1961 |
DDR
1 - 2
MAR
27%
21%
52%
|
72 | 36 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1961 |
YUG
3 - 2
MAR
83%
11%
7%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
MAR
2 - 3
DDR
80%
11%
9%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
EGY
13 - 0
KSA
47%
21%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1961 |
EGY
0 - 2
HUN
19%
19%
62%
|
69 | 92 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1960 |
EGY
3 - 3
TUR
59%
20%
22%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1960 |
BGR
2 - 0
EGY
71%
16%
13%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
YUG
6 - 1
EGY
90%
7%
4%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |