Morocco vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
11.4%
3.7%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
SDN
88%
10%
2%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 0
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
POR
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
ESP
17%
21%
63%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAD
2 - 1
GHA
14%
24%
62%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
MAD
3 - 1
BEN
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 1
BOT
41%
27%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
MAD
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
MAD
3 - 0
SYC
76%
17%
8%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |