Morocco vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
NAM
70%
20%
10%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SDN
0 - 0
MAR
21%
27%
52%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
GUI
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 0
MTN
73%
19%
8%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CIV
0 - 2
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CGO
1 - 1
LBY
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
RWA
0 - 1
LBY
35%
28%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
LBY
0 - 1
NGA
25%
29%
46%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2018 |
LBY
3 - 0
EQG
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2017 |
JOR
1 - 1
LBY
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |