Lithuania vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
ITA
4 - 0
LTU
83%
14%
4%
|
75 | 98 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
HUN
1 - 1
LTU
74%
18%
9%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
ROU
3 - 0
LTU
81%
14%
5%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2001 |
CYP
1 - 2
LTU
60%
22%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
LTU
1 - 6
HUN
20%
23%
58%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
ROU
2 - 0
HUN
62%
22%
17%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
ROU
0 - 0
SVK
86%
10%
4%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
GEO
0 - 2
ROU
12%
20%
68%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
ROU
0 - 2
ITA
33%
29%
38%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
ROU
3 - 0
LTU
81%
14%
5%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |