Japan vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
JPN
2 - 1
CHN
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
JPN
1 - 0
PRK
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 0
JPN
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
JPN
1 - 3
BRA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
JPN
3 - 3
HTI
83%
13%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
PRK
0 - 1
KOR
19%
24%
56%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
KOR
2 - 2
CHN
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
KOR
1 - 1
SRB
55%
25%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
KOR
2 - 1
COL
30%
28%
42%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
KOR
1 - 3
MAR
58%
24%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |